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AI 能力追踪 / 研究快照

AI 目前还做不到的事。

看看 AI 能做什么、还不能稳定做到什么,以及每项突破背后的证据。

最近复核: Nov 08, 2026 · 66 capabilities in one reviewed JSON file

单一 JSON 数据源人工复核
66已追踪
17已实现
33部分实现
16尚未实现

Counts are derived from the whole dataset and do not change when the list is filtered.

移动中的前沿

边界一直在右移。

每根柱子代表截至该年已有公开证据的任务数。从左往右读:这条线只会向上。

17 项有公开证据的任务49 项仍在等待第一个公开日期

每一个「尚未实现」,都只是一个还没到来的日期。 这是编辑视角,不是预测:我们不承诺时间表,也不会在证据出现之前提前填写任何日期。

01 / 待解问题

AI 目前还做不到的事

Capabilities marked Not Yet or Partial. Newest review first, then title order, so the list stays stable between deployments.

49 open

02 / 完整快照

全部 AI 能力

Every reviewed record, including achieved ones. Achieved entries show the demonstrated tool, the publication date of the public evidence, and its source.

66 total

66 of 66 capabilities

METHODOLOGY / READ THIS FIRST

如何阅读本追踪表。

  • 「尚未验证」不等于「不可能」。 It means that, as of the last review date, we found no credible evidence satisfying this task's strict definition. It is a statement about the evidence reviewed, not proof of a limit.
  • 发布日期不等于首次实现日期。 日期指的是公开来源的发布日期,不代表谁最早实现;列出某个工具只表示有一次有据可查的演示,不等于全球首次。
  • 只展示已验证的字段。 只有在存在完整结果的公开证据时,才展示工具名称与发布日期;空字段不会用占位内容填充。
  • 只有三种状态。 Achieved = public evidence for the defined task; Partial = a partial demonstration where a human still handles key steps; Not Yet = no reviewed evidence under the strict definition. Achieved never means 100% reliable in every situation.
  • 单一文件,无运行时依赖。 Editors update the JSON, review the diff, and redeploy. There is no database, crawler, login, or model call behind this page. These 66 records are a research snapshot, not an exhaustive list of everything AI can do.
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